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La Liga · Fixtures

Sevilla FC vs Málaga — Match Prediction

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 15 · Sun 6 Dec, 00:00 UTC

Sevilla FC win
58%
Draw
24%
Málaga win
18%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.7 – 0.8
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams score47%
Sevilla FCLDWWL5th · 13 pts
MálagaDDLLD19th · 4 pts

Ahead of Sevilla FC v Málaga in the La Liga on 6 December 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Sevilla FC the most likely outcome at 58%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.7 for Sevilla FC and 0.8 for Málaga. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and 47% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Sevilla FC goals down (↓), Málaga goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Sevilla FC vs Málaga?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Sevilla FC the most likely result at 58%. Full split: Sevilla FC win 58%, draw 24%, Málaga win 18%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Sevilla FC vs Málaga?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Sevilla FC 1–0 Málaga). Projected goals: Sevilla FC 1.7, Málaga 0.8.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring.

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