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La Liga · Fixtures

Santander vs Athletic — Match Prediction

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 18 · Sun 3 Jan, 00:00 UTC

Santander win
37%
Draw
24%
Athletic win
39%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.6 – 1.6
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams score63%
SantanderWLWLL16th · 7 pts
AthleticLWWDD11th · 8 pts

Ahead of Santander v Athletic in the La Liga on 3 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Athletic the most likely outcome at 39%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.6 for Santander and 1.6 for Athletic. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and 63% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Santander goals down (↓), Athletic goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Recent form

Santander
L@ Celta0–5
L@ Barça2–7
Wvs Alavés2–1
L@ Rayo Vallecano2–3
Wvs Elche3–2
Athletic
Dvs Alavés0–0
Dvs Elche1–1
Wvs Atleti3–0
W@ Celta2–0
L@ Barça0–2

FAQ

Who will win Santander vs Athletic?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Athletic the most likely result at 39%. Full split: Santander win 37%, draw 24%, Athletic win 39%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Santander vs Athletic?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Santander 1–1 Athletic). Projected goals: Santander 1.6, Athletic 1.6.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring.

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