Footyntel.

La Liga · Fixtures

Real Sociedad vs Barça — Match Prediction

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 36 · Sun 16 May, 00:00 UTC

Real Sociedad win
7%
Draw
10%
Barça win
83%
Most likely score1–3
Projected goals1.1 – 3.7
Over 2.5 goals86%
Both teams score65%
Real SociedadWDWLW8th · 10 pts
BarçaWWWWW1st · 24 pts

Ahead of Real Sociedad v Barça in the La Liga on 16 May 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Barça the most likely outcome at 83%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–3, with projected goals of 1.1 for Real Sociedad and 3.7 for Barça. There is a 86% chance of over 2.5 goals and 65% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Real Sociedad goals down (↓), Barça goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

136765136875123443011211000000000000012345012345

FAQ

Who will win Real Sociedad vs Barça?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Barça the most likely result at 83%. Full split: Real Sociedad win 7%, draw 10%, Barça win 83%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Real Sociedad vs Barça?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–3 (Real Sociedad 1–3 Barça). Projected goals: Real Sociedad 1.1, Barça 3.7.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 86% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring.

← La Liga table & projection