Real Madrid 1–0 Villarreal

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 8 · Sat 10 Oct, 19:00 UTC · Full time

1 – 0

Real Madrid 1–0 Villarreal — Real Madrid won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated Real Madrid to win at 70%, and the exact 1–0 scoreline at about 6%.

Pre-match model view

Real Madrid win

70%

Draw

16%

Villarreal win

14%

Most likely score2–1

Projected goals2.6 – 1.1

Over 2.5 goals71%

Both teams score61%

Real MadridLWWLW3rd · 18 pts

VillarrealLLWWL11th · 8 pts

Ahead of Real Madrid v Villarreal in the La Liga on 10 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Real Madrid the most likely outcome at 70%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–1, with projected goals of 2.6 for Real Madrid and 1.1 for Villarreal. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and 61% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Real Madrid goals down (↓), Villarreal goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Real Madrid 3W · 0D · 0L.

Real Madrid1–0Villarreal

Villarreal0–2Real Madrid

Real Madrid3–1Villarreal

Recent form

Real Madrid

Wvs Villarreal1–0

L@ Atleti1–2

W@ Elche3–2

Wvs Rayo Vallecano4–1

L@ Real Betis0–1

Villarreal

L@ Real Madrid0–1

Wvs Levante3–1

W@ Málaga3–1

Lvs Real Betis1–2

Lvs Deportivo2–3

What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Real Madrid win Draw Villarreal win

FAQ

Who will win Real Madrid vs Villarreal?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Real Madrid the most likely result at 70%. Full split: Real Madrid win 70%, draw 16%, Villarreal win 14%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Real Madrid vs Villarreal?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–1 (Real Madrid 2–1 Villarreal). Projected goals: Real Madrid 2.6, Villarreal 1.1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring.

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