La Liga · Fixtures

Real Madrid vs Celta — Match Prediction

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 13 · Sun 22 Nov, 00:00 UTC

Real Madrid win

64%

Draw

22%

Celta win

14%

Most likely score1–0

Projected goals1.9 – 0.7

Over 2.5 goals49%

Both teams score45%

Real MadridLWWLW3rd · 18 pts

CeltaDDDWD9th · 8 pts

Ahead of Real Madrid v Celta in the La Liga on 22 November 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Real Madrid the most likely outcome at 64%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.9 for Real Madrid and 0.7 for Celta. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and 45% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Real Madrid goals down (↓), Celta goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Real Madrid 1W · 0D · 1L.

Celta1–2Real Madrid

Real Madrid0–2Celta

Recent form

Real Madrid

Wvs Villarreal1–0

L@ Atleti1–2

W@ Elche3–2

Wvs Rayo Vallecano4–1

L@ Real Betis0–1

Celta

D@ Elche0–0

Wvs Santander5–0

Dvs Málaga1–1

D@ Getafe1–1

D@ Real Sociedad0–0

What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Real Madrid win Draw Celta win

FAQ

Who will win Real Madrid vs Celta?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Real Madrid the most likely result at 64%. Full split: Real Madrid win 64%, draw 22%, Celta win 14%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Real Madrid vs Celta?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Real Madrid 1–0 Celta). Projected goals: Real Madrid 1.9, Celta 0.7.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring.

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