Real Madrid vs Alavés — Match Prediction
La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 14 · Sun 29 Nov, 00:00 UTC
Real MadridLWWLW
AlavésWLLDLAhead of Real Madrid v Alavés in the La Liga on 29 November 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Real Madrid the most likely outcome at 71%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–0, with projected goals of 2.3 for Real Madrid and 0.8 for Alavés. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and 50% chance both teams score.
Scoreline probability
Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Real Madrid goals down (↓), Alavés goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Real Madrid winDrawAlavés win
FAQ
Who will win Real Madrid vs Alavés?
Footyntel's model makes a home win for Real Madrid the most likely result at 71%. Full split: Real Madrid win 71%, draw 18%, Alavés win 12%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.
What is the predicted score for Real Madrid vs Alavés?
The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–0 (Real Madrid 2–0 Alavés). Projected goals: Real Madrid 2.3, Alavés 0.8.
Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring.