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La Liga · Fixtures

Rayo Vallecano vs Barça — Match Prediction

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 29 · Sun 21 Mar, 00:00 UTC

Rayo Vallecano win
6%
Draw
10%
Barça win
84%
Most likely score1–3
Projected goals1 – 3.6
Over 2.5 goals83%
Both teams score61%
Rayo VallecanoLWLWD13th · 8 pts
BarçaWWWWW1st · 24 pts

Ahead of Rayo Vallecano v Barça in the La Liga on 21 March 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Barça the most likely outcome at 84%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–3, with projected goals of 1 for Rayo Vallecano and 3.6 for Barça. There is a 83% chance of over 2.5 goals and 61% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Rayo Vallecano goals down (↓), Barça goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Rayo Vallecano 0W · 1D · 2L.

Barça5–2Rayo Vallecano
Barça1–0Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano1–1Barça

Recent form

Rayo Vallecano
D@ Osasuna1–1
Wvs Espanyol2–1
L@ Real Madrid1–4
Wvs Santander3–2
L@ Barça2–5
Barça
Wvs Getafe3–0
W@ Sevilla FC3–1
Wvs Santander7–2
W@ Levante4–2
W@ Valencia5–0

FAQ

Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Barça?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Barça the most likely result at 84%. Full split: Rayo Vallecano win 6%, draw 10%, Barça win 84%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Rayo Vallecano vs Barça?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–3 (Rayo Vallecano 1–3 Barça). Projected goals: Rayo Vallecano 1, Barça 3.6.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 83% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring.

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