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La Liga · Fixtures

Osasuna vs Málaga — Match Prediction

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 13 · Sun 22 Nov, 00:00 UTC

Osasuna win
47%
Draw
28%
Málaga win
25%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.3 – 0.9
Over 2.5 goals39%
Both teams score44%
OsasunaWLLLD15th · 8 pts
MálagaDDLLD19th · 4 pts

Ahead of Osasuna v Málaga in the La Liga on 22 November 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Osasuna the most likely outcome at 47%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.3 for Osasuna and 0.9 for Málaga. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and 44% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Osasuna goals down (↓), Málaga goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Osasuna vs Málaga?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Osasuna the most likely result at 47%. Full split: Osasuna win 47%, draw 28%, Málaga win 25%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Osasuna vs Málaga?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Osasuna 1–0 Málaga). Projected goals: Osasuna 1.3, Málaga 0.9.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring.

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