Footyntel.

La Liga · Fixtures

Málaga vs Real Madrid — Match Prediction

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 20 · Sun 17 Jan, 00:00 UTC

Málaga win
11%
Draw
18%
Real Madrid win
71%
Most likely score0–2
Projected goals0.7 – 2.2
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams score46%
MálagaDDLLD19th · 4 pts
Real MadridLWWLW3rd · 18 pts

Ahead of Málaga v Real Madrid in the La Liga on 17 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Real Madrid the most likely outcome at 71%. The single most probable scoreline is 0–2, with projected goals of 0.7 for Málaga and 2.2 for Real Madrid. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and 46% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Málaga goals down (↓), Real Madrid goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Málaga vs Real Madrid?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Real Madrid the most likely result at 71%. Full split: Málaga win 11%, draw 18%, Real Madrid win 71%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Málaga vs Real Madrid?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 0–2 (Málaga 0–2 Real Madrid). Projected goals: Málaga 0.7, Real Madrid 2.2.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring.

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