Footyntel.

La Liga · Fixtures

Málaga 1–1 Espanyol

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 8 · Fri 9 Oct, 19:00 UTC · Full time

1 – 1

Málaga 1–1 Espanyol — the sides drew. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated a draw at 28%, and the exact 1–1 scoreline at about 13%.

Pre-match model view

Málaga win
32%
Draw
28%
Espanyol win
40%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.1 – 1.2
Over 2.5 goals41%
Both teams score47%
MálagaDDLLD19th · 4 pts
EspanyolDWLLD12th · 8 pts

Ahead of Málaga v Espanyol in the La Liga on 9 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Espanyol the most likely outcome at 40%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.1 for Málaga and 1.2 for Espanyol. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and 47% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Málaga goals down (↓), Espanyol goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 1 meeting — Málaga 0W · 1D · 0L.

Málaga1–1Espanyol

Recent form

Málaga
Dvs Espanyol1–1
L@ Getafe0–1
Lvs Villarreal1–3
D@ Celta1–1
Dvs Levante0–0
Espanyol
D@ Málaga1–1
Lvs Elche1–3
L@ Rayo Vallecano1–2
W@ Osasuna2–0
Dvs Sevilla FC1–1

FAQ

Who will win Málaga vs Espanyol?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Espanyol the most likely result at 40%. Full split: Málaga win 32%, draw 28%, Espanyol win 40%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Málaga vs Espanyol?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Málaga 1–1 Espanyol). Projected goals: Málaga 1.1, Espanyol 1.2.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring.

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