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La Liga · Fixtures

Málaga vs Barça — Match Prediction

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 16 · Sun 13 Dec, 00:00 UTC

Málaga win
4%
Draw
9%
Barça win
87%
Most likely score0–3
Projected goals0.7 – 3.3
Over 2.5 goals77%
Both teams score48%
MálagaDDLLD19th · 4 pts
BarçaWWWWW1st · 24 pts

Ahead of Málaga v Barça in the La Liga on 13 December 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Barça the most likely outcome at 87%. The single most probable scoreline is 0–3, with projected goals of 0.7 for Málaga and 3.3 for Barça. There is a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals and 48% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Málaga goals down (↓), Barça goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Recent form

Málaga
Dvs Espanyol1–1
L@ Getafe0–1
Lvs Villarreal1–3
D@ Celta1–1
Dvs Levante0–0
Barça
Wvs Getafe3–0
W@ Sevilla FC3–1
Wvs Santander7–2
W@ Levante4–2
W@ Valencia5–0

FAQ

Who will win Málaga vs Barça?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Barça the most likely result at 87%. Full split: Málaga win 4%, draw 9%, Barça win 87%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Málaga vs Barça?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 0–3 (Málaga 0–3 Barça). Projected goals: Málaga 0.7, Barça 3.3.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring.

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