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La Liga · Fixtures

Málaga vs Athletic — Match Prediction

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 14 · Sun 29 Nov, 00:00 UTC

Málaga win
31%
Draw
29%
Athletic win
39%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1 – 1.2
Over 2.5 goals37%
Both teams score43%
MálagaDDLLD19th · 4 pts
AthleticLWWDD10th · 8 pts

Ahead of Málaga v Athletic in the La Liga on 29 November 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Athletic the most likely outcome at 39%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1 for Málaga and 1.2 for Athletic. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and 43% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Málaga goals down (↓), Athletic goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Recent form

Málaga
Dvs Espanyol1–1
L@ Getafe0–1
Lvs Villarreal1–3
D@ Celta1–1
Dvs Levante0–0
Athletic
Dvs Alavés0–0
Dvs Elche1–1
Wvs Atleti3–0
W@ Celta2–0
L@ Barça0–2

FAQ

Who will win Málaga vs Athletic?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Athletic the most likely result at 39%. Full split: Málaga win 31%, draw 29%, Athletic win 39%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Málaga vs Athletic?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Málaga 1–1 Athletic). Projected goals: Málaga 1, Athletic 1.2.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring.

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