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La Liga · Fixtures

Málaga vs Alavés — Match Prediction

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 22 · Sun 31 Jan, 00:00 UTC

Málaga win
27%
Draw
28%
Alavés win
45%
Most likely score0–1
Projected goals1 – 1.3
Over 2.5 goals40%
Both teams score45%
MálagaDDLLD19th · 4 pts
AlavésWLLDL6th · 11 pts

Ahead of Málaga v Alavés in the La Liga on 31 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Alavés the most likely outcome at 45%. The single most probable scoreline is 0–1, with projected goals of 1 for Málaga and 1.3 for Alavés. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and 45% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Málaga goals down (↓), Alavés goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Málaga vs Alavés?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Alavés the most likely result at 45%. Full split: Málaga win 27%, draw 28%, Alavés win 45%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Málaga vs Alavés?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 0–1 (Málaga 0–1 Alavés). Projected goals: Málaga 1, Alavés 1.3.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring.

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