Footyntel.

La Liga · Fixtures

Elche vs Villarreal — Match Prediction

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 28 · Sun 14 Mar, 00:00 UTC

Elche win
30%
Draw
21%
Villarreal win
49%
Most likely score1–2
Projected goals1.6 – 2
Over 2.5 goals70%
Both teams score69%
ElcheLDLWD17th · 6 pts
VillarrealLLWWL12th · 8 pts

Ahead of Elche v Villarreal in the La Liga on 14 March 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Villarreal the most likely outcome at 49%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–2, with projected goals of 1.6 for Elche and 2 for Villarreal. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and 69% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Elche goals down (↓), Villarreal goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Elche 0W · 0D · 2L.

Villarreal2–1Elche
Elche1–3Villarreal

Recent form

Elche
Dvs Celta0–0
W@ Espanyol3–1
Lvs Real Madrid2–3
D@ Athletic1–1
Lvs Real Sociedad2–3
Villarreal
L@ Real Madrid0–1
Wvs Levante3–1
W@ Málaga3–1
Lvs Real Betis1–2
Lvs Deportivo2–3

FAQ

Who will win Elche vs Villarreal?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Villarreal the most likely result at 49%. Full split: Elche win 30%, draw 21%, Villarreal win 49%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Elche vs Villarreal?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–2 (Elche 1–2 Villarreal). Projected goals: Elche 1.6, Villarreal 2.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring.

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