Footyntel.

La Liga · Fixtures

Elche vs Rayo Vallecano — Match Prediction

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 21 · Sun 24 Jan, 00:00 UTC

Elche win
46%
Draw
22%
Rayo Vallecano win
31%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.9 – 1.5
Over 2.5 goals65%
Both teams score66%
ElcheLLDLW17th · 6 pts
Rayo VallecanoLWLWD13th · 8 pts

Ahead of Elche v Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga on 24 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Elche the most likely outcome at 46%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.9 for Elche and 1.5 for Rayo Vallecano. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and 66% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Elche goals down (↓), Rayo Vallecano goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Elche vs Rayo Vallecano?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Elche the most likely result at 46%. Full split: Elche win 46%, draw 22%, Rayo Vallecano win 31%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Elche vs Rayo Vallecano?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Elche 1–1 Rayo Vallecano). Projected goals: Elche 1.9, Rayo Vallecano 1.5.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring.

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