Footyntel.

La Liga · Fixtures

Elche vs Athletic — Match Prediction

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 36 · Sun 16 May, 00:00 UTC

Elche win
41%
Draw
25%
Athletic win
34%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.5 – 1.3
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams score57%
ElcheLDLWD17th · 6 pts
AthleticLWWDD10th · 8 pts

Ahead of Elche v Athletic in the La Liga on 16 May 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Elche the most likely outcome at 41%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.5 for Elche and 1.3 for Athletic. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and 57% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Elche goals down (↓), Athletic goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Elche 0W · 2D · 1L.

Athletic1–1Elche
Athletic2–1Elche
Elche0–0Athletic

Recent form

Elche
Dvs Celta0–0
W@ Espanyol3–1
Lvs Real Madrid2–3
D@ Athletic1–1
Lvs Real Sociedad2–3
Athletic
Dvs Alavés0–0
Dvs Elche1–1
Wvs Atleti3–0
W@ Celta2–0
L@ Barça0–2

FAQ

Who will win Elche vs Athletic?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Elche the most likely result at 41%. Full split: Elche win 41%, draw 25%, Athletic win 34%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Elche vs Athletic?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Elche 1–1 Athletic). Projected goals: Elche 1.5, Athletic 1.3.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring.

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