Footyntel.

La Liga · Fixtures

Elche vs Alavés — Match Prediction

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 30 · Sun 4 Apr, 00:00 UTC

Elche win
35%
Draw
25%
Alavés win
41%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.4 – 1.5
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams score59%
ElcheLDLWD17th · 6 pts
AlavésWLLDL7th · 11 pts

Ahead of Elche v Alavés in the La Liga on 4 April 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Alavés the most likely outcome at 41%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.4 for Elche and 1.5 for Alavés. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and 59% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Elche goals down (↓), Alavés goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Elche 0W · 1D · 1L.

Elche1–1Alavés
Alavés3–1Elche

Recent form

Elche
Dvs Celta0–0
W@ Espanyol3–1
Lvs Real Madrid2–3
D@ Athletic1–1
Lvs Real Sociedad2–3
Alavés
Lvs Atleti1–2
D@ Athletic0–0
Lvs Valencia0–1
L@ Santander1–2
Wvs Osasuna5–2

FAQ

Who will win Elche vs Alavés?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Alavés the most likely result at 41%. Full split: Elche win 35%, draw 25%, Alavés win 41%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Elche vs Alavés?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Elche 1–1 Alavés). Projected goals: Elche 1.4, Alavés 1.5.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring.

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