Footyntel.

La Liga · Fixtures

Barça vs Real Sociedad — Match Prediction

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 17 · Sun 20 Dec, 00:00 UTC

Barça win
92%
Draw
5%
Real Sociedad win
3%
Most likely score4–0
Projected goals4.5 – 0.8
Over 2.5 goals90%
Both teams score56%
BarçaWWWWW1st · 24 pts
Real SociedadWDWLW8th · 10 pts

Ahead of Barça v Real Sociedad in the La Liga on 20 December 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Barça the most likely outcome at 92%. The single most probable scoreline is 4–0, with projected goals of 4.5 for Barça and 0.8 for Real Sociedad. There is a 90% chance of over 2.5 goals and 56% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Barça goals down (↓), Real Sociedad goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Barça vs Real Sociedad?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Barça the most likely result at 92%. Full split: Barça win 92%, draw 5%, Real Sociedad win 3%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Barça vs Real Sociedad?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 4–0 (Barça 4–0 Real Sociedad). Projected goals: Barça 4.5, Real Sociedad 0.8.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 90% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring.

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