Atleti vs Alavés — Match Prediction
La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 34 · Sun 2 May, 00:00 UTC
Ahead of Atleti v Alavés in the La Liga on 2 May 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Atleti the most likely outcome at 63%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–0, with projected goals of 2 for Atleti and 0.9 for Alavés. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and 52% chance both teams score.
Scoreline probability
Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Atleti goals down (↓), Alavés goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.
Head-to-head
Last 3 meetings — Atleti 2W · 1D · 0L.
Recent form
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Atleti winDrawAlavés win
FAQ
Who will win Atleti vs Alavés?
Footyntel's model makes a home win for Atleti the most likely result at 63%. Full split: Atleti win 63%, draw 21%, Alavés win 16%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.
What is the predicted score for Atleti vs Alavés?
The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–0 (Atleti 2–0 Alavés). Projected goals: Atleti 2, Alavés 0.9.
Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring.