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La Liga · Fixtures

Athletic vs Valencia — Match Prediction

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 28 · Sun 14 Mar, 00:00 UTC

Athletic win
56%
Draw
25%
Valencia win
19%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.6 – 0.8
Over 2.5 goals43%
Both teams score44%
AthleticLWWDD10th · 8 pts
ValenciaLLLWL19th · 4 pts

Ahead of Athletic v Valencia in the La Liga on 14 March 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Athletic the most likely outcome at 56%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.6 for Athletic and 0.8 for Valencia. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and 44% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Athletic goals down (↓), Valencia goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Athletic 0W · 0D · 2L.

Athletic0–1Valencia
Valencia2–0Athletic

Recent form

Athletic
Dvs Alavés0–0
Dvs Elche1–1
Wvs Atleti3–0
W@ Celta2–0
L@ Barça0–2
Valencia
Lvs Real Sociedad2–3
W@ Alavés1–0
L@ Sevilla FC0–1
Lvs Barça0–5
L@ Deportivo1–3

FAQ

Who will win Athletic vs Valencia?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Athletic the most likely result at 56%. Full split: Athletic win 56%, draw 25%, Valencia win 19%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Athletic vs Valencia?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Athletic 1–0 Valencia). Projected goals: Athletic 1.6, Valencia 0.8.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring.

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