Footyntel.

La Liga · Fixtures

Athletic vs Santander — Match Prediction

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 30 · Sun 4 Apr, 00:00 UTC

Athletic win
58%
Draw
21%
Santander win
21%
Most likely score2–1
Projected goals2.1 – 1.2
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams score61%
AthleticLWWDD10th · 8 pts
SantanderWLWLL16th · 7 pts

Ahead of Athletic v Santander in the La Liga on 4 April 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Athletic the most likely outcome at 58%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–1, with projected goals of 2.1 for Athletic and 1.2 for Santander. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and 61% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Athletic goals down (↓), Santander goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Athletic vs Santander?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Athletic the most likely result at 58%. Full split: Athletic win 58%, draw 21%, Santander win 21%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Athletic vs Santander?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–1 (Athletic 2–1 Santander). Projected goals: Athletic 2.1, Santander 1.2.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring.

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