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La Liga · Fixtures

Athletic vs Barça — Match Prediction

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 26 · Sun 28 Feb, 00:00 UTC

Athletic win
9%
Draw
14%
Barça win
78%
Most likely score0–2
Projected goals0.9 – 2.8
Over 2.5 goals72%
Both teams score55%
AthleticLWWDD10th · 8 pts
BarçaWWWWW1st · 24 pts

Ahead of Athletic v Barça in the La Liga on 28 February 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Barça the most likely outcome at 78%. The single most probable scoreline is 0–2, with projected goals of 0.9 for Athletic and 2.8 for Barça. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and 55% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Athletic goals down (↓), Barça goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Athletic 0W · 0D · 3L.

Barça2–0Athletic
Athletic0–1Barça
Barça4–0Athletic

Recent form

Athletic
Dvs Alavés0–0
Dvs Elche1–1
Wvs Atleti3–0
W@ Celta2–0
L@ Barça0–2
Barça
Wvs Getafe3–0
W@ Sevilla FC3–1
Wvs Santander7–2
W@ Levante4–2
W@ Valencia5–0

FAQ

Who will win Athletic vs Barça?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Barça the most likely result at 78%. Full split: Athletic win 9%, draw 14%, Barça win 78%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Athletic vs Barça?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 0–2 (Athletic 0–2 Barça). Projected goals: Athletic 0.9, Barça 2.8.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring.

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