Footyntel.

La Liga · Fixtures

Alavés vs Real Madrid — Match Prediction

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 37 · Sun 23 May, 00:00 UTC

Alavés win
23%
Draw
23%
Real Madrid win
54%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.1 – 1.8
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams score54%
AlavésWLLDL6th · 11 pts
Real MadridLWWLW3rd · 18 pts

Ahead of Alavés v Real Madrid in the La Liga on 23 May 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Real Madrid the most likely outcome at 54%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.1 for Alavés and 1.8 for Real Madrid. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and 54% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Alavés goals down (↓), Real Madrid goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Alavés vs Real Madrid?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Real Madrid the most likely result at 54%. Full split: Alavés win 23%, draw 23%, Real Madrid win 54%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Alavés vs Real Madrid?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Alavés 1–1 Real Madrid). Projected goals: Alavés 1.1, Real Madrid 1.8.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring.

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