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La Liga · Fixtures

Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano — Match Prediction

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 32 · Sun 18 Apr, 00:00 UTC

Alavés win
56%
Draw
23%
Rayo Vallecano win
21%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.8 – 1
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams score55%
AlavésWLLDL6th · 11 pts
Rayo VallecanoLWLWD13th · 8 pts

Ahead of Alavés v Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga on 18 April 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Alavés the most likely outcome at 56%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.8 for Alavés and 1 for Rayo Vallecano. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and 55% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Alavés goals down (↓), Rayo Vallecano goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Alavés the most likely result at 56%. Full split: Alavés win 56%, draw 23%, Rayo Vallecano win 21%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Alavés 1–1 Rayo Vallecano). Projected goals: Alavés 1.8, Rayo Vallecano 1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring.

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