Footyntel.

La Liga · Fixtures

Alavés vs Málaga — Match Prediction

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 10 · Fri 23 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Alavés win
61%
Draw
23%
Málaga win
15%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.7 – 0.7
Over 2.5 goals44%
Both teams score43%
ALAAlavésWLLDL6th · 11 pts
MALMálagaDDLLD19th · 4 pts

Ahead of Alavés v Málaga in the La Liga on 23 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Alavés the most likely outcome at 61%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.7 for Alavés and 0.7 for Málaga. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and 43% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Alavés vs Málaga?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Alavés the most likely result at 61%. Full split: Alavés win 61%, draw 23%, Málaga win 15%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Alavés vs Málaga?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Alavés 1–0 Málaga). Projected goals: Alavés 1.7, Málaga 0.7.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring.

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