Footyntel.

La Liga · Fixtures

Alavés vs Elche — Match Prediction

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 17 · Sun 20 Dec, 00:00 UTC

Alavés win
59%
Draw
21%
Elche win
20%
Most likely score2–1
Projected goals2 – 1.1
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams score57%
AlavésWLLDL7th · 11 pts
ElcheLDLWD17th · 6 pts

Ahead of Alavés v Elche in the La Liga on 20 December 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Alavés the most likely outcome at 59%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–1, with projected goals of 2 for Alavés and 1.1 for Elche. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and 57% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Alavés goals down (↓), Elche goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Alavés 1W · 1D · 0L.

Elche1–1Alavés
Alavés3–1Elche

Recent form

Alavés
Lvs Atleti1–2
D@ Athletic0–0
Lvs Valencia0–1
L@ Santander1–2
Wvs Osasuna5–2
Elche
Dvs Celta0–0
W@ Espanyol3–1
Lvs Real Madrid2–3
D@ Athletic1–1
Lvs Real Sociedad2–3

FAQ

Who will win Alavés vs Elche?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Alavés the most likely result at 59%. Full split: Alavés win 59%, draw 21%, Elche win 20%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Alavés vs Elche?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–1 (Alavés 2–1 Elche). Projected goals: Alavés 2, Elche 1.1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring.

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