Footyntel.

La Liga · Fixtures

Alavés vs Celta — Match Prediction

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 23 · Sun 7 Feb, 00:00 UTC

Alavés win
39%
Draw
30%
Celta win
31%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.1 – 1
Over 2.5 goals35%
Both teams score42%
AlavésWLLDL7th · 11 pts
CeltaDDDWD9th · 8 pts

Ahead of Alavés v Celta in the La Liga on 7 February 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Alavés the most likely outcome at 39%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.1 for Alavés and 1 for Celta. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and 42% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Alavés goals down (↓), Celta goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Alavés 1W · 0D · 1L.

Celta3–4Alavés
Alavés0–1Celta

Recent form

Alavés
Lvs Atleti1–2
D@ Athletic0–0
Lvs Valencia0–1
L@ Santander1–2
Wvs Osasuna5–2
Celta
D@ Elche0–0
Wvs Santander5–0
Dvs Málaga1–1
D@ Getafe1–1
D@ Real Sociedad0–0

FAQ

Who will win Alavés vs Celta?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Alavés the most likely result at 39%. Full split: Alavés win 39%, draw 30%, Celta win 31%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Alavés vs Celta?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Alavés 1–0 Celta). Projected goals: Alavés 1.1, Celta 1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring.

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