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Eredivisie · Fixtures

Sparta vs Ajax — Match Prediction

Eredivisie 2026/27 · Matchday 10 · Sun 25 Oct, 15:45 UTC

Sparta win
8%
Draw
11%
Ajax win
81%
Most likely score0–3
Projected goals1 – 3.3
Over 2.5 goals80%
Both teams score60%
SPASpartaLDLLD12th · 6 pts
AJAAjaxLWWDD5th · 15 pts

Ahead of Sparta v Ajax in the Eredivisie on 25 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Ajax the most likely outcome at 81%. The single most probable scoreline is 0–3, with projected goals of 1 for Sparta and 3.3 for Ajax. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and 60% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Sparta vs Ajax?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Ajax the most likely result at 81%. Full split: Sparta win 8%, draw 11%, Ajax win 81%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Sparta vs Ajax?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 0–3 (Sparta 0–3 Ajax). Projected goals: Sparta 1, Ajax 3.3.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring.

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