Footyntel.

Eredivisie · Fixtures

Heerenveen vs Sparta — Match Prediction

Eredivisie 2026/27 · Matchday 19 · Fri 15 Jan, 19:00 UTC

Heerenveen win
50%
Draw
22%
Sparta win
27%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.9 – 1.4
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams score64%
HeerenveenDLDWL10th · 9 pts
SpartaLDLLD13th · 6 pts

Ahead of Heerenveen v Sparta in the Eredivisie on 15 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Heerenveen the most likely outcome at 50%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.9 for Heerenveen and 1.4 for Sparta. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and 64% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Heerenveen goals down (↓), Sparta goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

4532107107310796310464210232100111000012345012345

FAQ

Who will win Heerenveen vs Sparta?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Heerenveen the most likely result at 50%. Full split: Heerenveen win 50%, draw 22%, Sparta win 27%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Heerenveen vs Sparta?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Heerenveen 1–1 Sparta). Projected goals: Heerenveen 1.9, Sparta 1.4.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring.

← Eredivisie table & projection