Footyntel.

Eredivisie · Fixtures

Groningen vs Ajax — Match Prediction

Eredivisie 2026/27 · Matchday 9 · Sun 18 Oct, 14:45 UTC

Groningen win
19%
Draw
19%
Ajax win
63%
Most likely score1–2
Projected goals1.3 – 2.4
Over 2.5 goals71%
Both teams score65%
GROGroningenLLDDW9th · 11 pts
AJAAjaxLWWDD5th · 15 pts

Ahead of Groningen v Ajax in the Eredivisie on 18 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Ajax the most likely outcome at 63%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–2, with projected goals of 1.3 for Groningen and 2.4 for Ajax. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and 65% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Groningen vs Ajax?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Ajax the most likely result at 63%. Full split: Groningen win 19%, draw 19%, Ajax win 63%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Groningen vs Ajax?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–2 (Groningen 1–2 Ajax). Projected goals: Groningen 1.3, Ajax 2.4.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring.

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