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Eredivisie · Fixtures

Go Ahead 3–3 Sparta

Eredivisie 2026/27 · Matchday 8 · Sat 10 Oct, 14:30 UTC · Full time

3 – 3

Go Ahead 3–3 Sparta — the sides drew. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated a draw at 19%, and the exact 3–3 scoreline at about 3%.

Pre-match model view

Go Ahead win
54%
Draw
19%
Sparta win
27%
Most likely score2–1
Projected goals2.4 – 1.7
Over 2.5 goals78%
Both teams score75%
Go AheadLDDDD9th · 11 pts
SpartaLDLLD14th · 6 pts

Ahead of Go Ahead v Sparta in the Eredivisie on 10 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Go Ahead the most likely outcome at 54%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–1, with projected goals of 2.4 for Go Ahead and 1.7 for Sparta. There is a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and 75% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Go Ahead goals down (↓), Sparta goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

232110476310587421476310243210122100012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Go Ahead 0W · 2D · 1L.

Go Ahead3–3Sparta
Sparta2–2Go Ahead
Go Ahead0–3Sparta

Recent form

Go Ahead
Dvs Sparta3–3
D@ NEC1–1
Dvs Groningen1–1
D@ Utrecht3–3
L@ AZ2–5
Sparta
D@ Go Ahead3–3
Lvs Heerenveen0–4
L@ PSV1–4
Dvs Zwolle2–2
L@ Excelsior1–2
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Go Ahead winDrawSparta win

FAQ

Who will win Go Ahead vs Sparta?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Go Ahead the most likely result at 54%. Full split: Go Ahead win 54%, draw 19%, Sparta win 27%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Go Ahead vs Sparta?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–1 (Go Ahead 2–1 Sparta). Projected goals: Go Ahead 2.4, Sparta 1.7.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 75% chance of both teams scoring.

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