Footyntel.

Eredivisie · Fixtures

Excelsior vs AZ — Match Prediction

Eredivisie 2026/27 · Matchday 17 · Sat 19 Dec, 15:30 UTC

Excelsior win
23%
Draw
22%
AZ win
56%
Most likely score1–2
Projected goals1.2 – 2
Over 2.5 goals63%
Both teams score61%
EXCExcelsiorWWDLD7th · 11 pts
AZAZWWDWL3rd · 19 pts

Ahead of Excelsior v AZ in the Eredivisie on 19 December 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for AZ the most likely outcome at 56%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–2, with projected goals of 1.2 for Excelsior and 2 for AZ. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and 61% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Excelsior vs AZ?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for AZ the most likely result at 56%. Full split: Excelsior win 23%, draw 22%, AZ win 56%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Excelsior vs AZ?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–2 (Excelsior 1–2 AZ). Projected goals: Excelsior 1.2, AZ 2.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring.

← Eredivisie table & projection