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Eredivisie · Fixtures

AZ vs Excelsior — Match Prediction

Eredivisie 2026/27 · Matchday 27 · Sat 20 Mar, 00:00 UTC

AZ win
44%
Draw
23%
Excelsior win
32%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.7 – 1.4
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams score62%
AZAZWWDWL3rd · 19 pts
EXCExcelsiorWWDLD7th · 11 pts

Ahead of AZ v Excelsior in the Eredivisie on 20 March 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for AZ the most likely outcome at 44%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.7 for AZ and 1.4 for Excelsior. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and 62% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win AZ vs Excelsior?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for AZ the most likely result at 44%. Full split: AZ win 44%, draw 23%, Excelsior win 32%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for AZ vs Excelsior?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (AZ 1–1 Excelsior). Projected goals: AZ 1.7, Excelsior 1.4.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring.

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