Footyntel.

Eredivisie · Fixtures

Ajax vs AZ — Match Prediction

Eredivisie 2026/27 · Matchday 11 · Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 UTC

Ajax win
40%
Draw
23%
AZ win
37%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.7 – 1.6
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams score65%
AjaxLWWDD5th · 15 pts
AZWWDWL3rd · 19 pts

Ahead of Ajax v AZ in the Eredivisie on 31 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Ajax the most likely outcome at 40%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.7 for Ajax and 1.6 for AZ. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and 65% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Ajax vs AZ?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Ajax the most likely result at 40%. Full split: Ajax win 40%, draw 23%, AZ win 37%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Ajax vs AZ?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Ajax 1–1 AZ). Projected goals: Ajax 1.7, AZ 1.6.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring.

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