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Championship · Fixtures

Wrexham vs Derby County — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 34 · Sat 27 Feb, 00:00 UTC

Wrexham win
50%
Draw
24%
Derby County win
26%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.7 – 1.2
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams score56%
WrexhamDDLWD14th · 10 pts
Derby CountyLLLDD22nd · 5 pts

Ahead of Wrexham v Derby County in the Championship on 27 February 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Wrexham the most likely outcome at 50%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.7 for Wrexham and 1.2 for Derby County. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and 56% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Wrexham goals down (↓), Derby County goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Wrexham vs Derby County?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Wrexham the most likely result at 50%. Full split: Wrexham win 50%, draw 24%, Derby County win 26%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Wrexham vs Derby County?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Wrexham 1–1 Derby County). Projected goals: Wrexham 1.7, Derby County 1.2.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring.

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