Footyntel.

Championship · Fixtures

West Ham vs Stoke — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 18 · Sat 28 Nov, 15:00 UTC

West Ham win
59%
Draw
20%
Stoke win
21%
Most likely score2–1
Projected goals2.3 – 1.3
Over 2.5 goals69%
Both teams score65%
West HamWWWDD2nd · 15 pts
StokeWDWWW7th · 13 pts

Ahead of West Ham v Stoke in the Championship on 28 November 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for West Ham the most likely outcome at 59%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–1, with projected goals of 2.3 for West Ham and 1.3 for Stoke. There is a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and 65% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — West Ham goals down (↓), Stoke goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Recent form

West Ham
Dvs QPR1–1
D@ Millwall2–2
Wvs Wrexham6–0
W@ Bolton3–2
Wvs Derby County3–0
Stoke
W@ Bolton2–1
Wvs Sheffield Utd2–1
W@ Watford2–1
D@ Cardiff1–1
Wvs Charlton4–0
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: West Ham winDrawStoke win

FAQ

Who will win West Ham vs Stoke?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for West Ham the most likely result at 59%. Full split: West Ham win 59%, draw 20%, Stoke win 21%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for West Ham vs Stoke?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–1 (West Ham 2–1 Stoke). Projected goals: West Ham 2.3, Stoke 1.3.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring.

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