Watford vs Derby County — Match Prediction
Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 37 · Sat 13 Mar, 00:00 UTC
WatfordLWLLL
Derby CountyLLLDDAhead of Watford v Derby County in the Championship on 13 March 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Watford the most likely outcome at 42%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.3 for Watford and 1.1 for Derby County. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and 48% chance both teams score.
Scoreline probability
Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Watford goals down (↓), Derby County goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Watford winDrawDerby County win
FAQ
Who will win Watford vs Derby County?
Footyntel's model makes a home win for Watford the most likely result at 42%. Full split: Watford win 42%, draw 27%, Derby County win 30%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.
What is the predicted score for Watford vs Derby County?
The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Watford 1–1 Derby County). Projected goals: Watford 1.3, Derby County 1.1.
Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring.