Footyntel.

Championship · Fixtures

Watford 0–4 Burnley

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 9 · Sat 10 Oct, 14:00 UTC · Full time

0 – 4

Watford 0–4 Burnley — Burnley won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated Burnley to win at 26%, and the exact 0–4 scoreline at about 0%.

Pre-match model view

Watford win
48%
Draw
25%
Burnley win
26%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.5 – 1.1
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams score52%
WatfordLWLLL20th · 8 pts
BurnleyLDLDW24th · 4 pts

Ahead of Watford v Burnley in the Championship on 10 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Watford the most likely outcome at 48%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.5 for Watford and 1.1 for Burnley. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and 52% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Watford goals down (↓), Burnley goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 1 meeting — Watford 0W · 0D · 1L.

Watford0–4Burnley

Recent form

Watford
Lvs Burnley0–4
L@ Bristol City0–1
Lvs Stoke1–2
Wvs Preston NE2–1
L@ West Brom0–1
Burnley
W@ Watford4–0
Dvs Derby County1–1
L@ Swansea1–3
D@ Wrexham1–1
Lvs Bristol City1–2
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Watford winDrawBurnley win

FAQ

Who will win Watford vs Burnley?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Watford the most likely result at 48%. Full split: Watford win 48%, draw 25%, Burnley win 26%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Watford vs Burnley?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Watford 1–1 Burnley). Projected goals: Watford 1.5, Burnley 1.1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring.

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