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Championship · Fixtures

Watford vs Birmingham — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 45 · Sat 24 Apr, 00:00 UTC

Watford win
33%
Draw
28%
Birmingham win
39%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.1 – 1.2
Over 2.5 goals42%
Both teams score48%
WatfordLWLLL20th · 8 pts
BirminghamDLWDW10th · 11 pts

Ahead of Watford v Birmingham in the Championship on 24 April 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Birmingham the most likely outcome at 39%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.1 for Watford and 1.2 for Birmingham. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and 48% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Watford goals down (↓), Birmingham goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Watford 1W · 0D · 1L.

Watford3–0Birmingham
Birmingham2–1Watford

Recent form

Watford
Lvs Burnley0–4
L@ Bristol City0–1
Lvs Stoke1–2
Wvs Preston NE2–1
L@ West Brom0–1
Birmingham
W@ West Brom1–0
Dvs Middlesbrough2–2
W@ Derby County2–1
L@ Norwich1–2
Dvs Wolverhampton2–2
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Watford winDrawBirmingham win

FAQ

Who will win Watford vs Birmingham?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Birmingham the most likely result at 39%. Full split: Watford win 33%, draw 28%, Birmingham win 39%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Watford vs Birmingham?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Watford 1–1 Birmingham). Projected goals: Watford 1.1, Birmingham 1.2.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring.

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