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Championship · Fixtures

Swansea vs Stoke — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 36 · Sat 6 Mar, 00:00 UTC

Swansea win
54%
Draw
24%
Stoke win
22%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.7 – 0.9
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams score50%
SwanseaDLWWW1st · 17 pts
StokeWDWWW7th · 13 pts

Ahead of Swansea v Stoke in the Championship on 6 March 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Swansea the most likely outcome at 54%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.7 for Swansea and 0.9 for Stoke. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and 50% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Swansea goals down (↓), Stoke goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Swansea vs Stoke?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Swansea the most likely result at 54%. Full split: Swansea win 54%, draw 24%, Stoke win 22%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Swansea vs Stoke?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Swansea 1–0 Stoke). Projected goals: Swansea 1.7, Stoke 0.9.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring.

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