Swansea 2–1 Norwich

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 9 · Sat 10 Oct, 11:30 UTC · Full time

2 – 1

Swansea 2–1 Norwich — Swansea won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated Swansea to win at 57%, and the exact 2–1 scoreline at about 10%.

Pre-match model view

Swansea win

57%

Draw

21%

Norwich win

22%

Most likely score2–1

Projected goals2 – 1.2

Over 2.5 goals62%

Both teams score60%

SwanseaDLWWW1st · 17 pts

NorwichWWLLL17th · 9 pts

Ahead of Swansea v Norwich in the Championship on 10 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Swansea the most likely outcome at 57%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–1, with projected goals of 2 for Swansea and 1.2 for Norwich. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and 60% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Swansea goals down (↓), Norwich goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Swansea 2W · 1D · 0L.

Swansea2–1Norwich

Norwich1–1Swansea

Swansea2–1Norwich

Recent form

Swansea

Wvs Norwich2–1

W@ Lincoln City2–1

Wvs Burnley3–1

L@ Southampton1–3

Dvs Wrexham0–0

Norwich

L@ Swansea1–2

Lvs Bolton3–4

L@ Middlesbrough3–4

Wvs Birmingham2–1

W@ Sheffield Utd3–1

What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Swansea win Draw Norwich win

FAQ

Who will win Swansea vs Norwich?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Swansea the most likely result at 57%. Full split: Swansea win 57%, draw 21%, Norwich win 22%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Swansea vs Norwich?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–1 (Swansea 2–1 Norwich). Projected goals: Swansea 2, Norwich 1.2.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring.

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