Swansea vs Derby County — Match Prediction
Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 43 · Sat 17 Apr, 00:00 UTC
SwanseaDLWWW
Derby CountyLLLDDAhead of Swansea v Derby County in the Championship on 17 April 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Swansea the most likely outcome at 61%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.8 for Swansea and 0.8 for Derby County. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and 47% chance both teams score.
Scoreline probability
Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Swansea goals down (↓), Derby County goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Swansea winDrawDerby County win
FAQ
Who will win Swansea vs Derby County?
Footyntel's model makes a home win for Swansea the most likely result at 61%. Full split: Swansea win 61%, draw 22%, Derby County win 16%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.
What is the predicted score for Swansea vs Derby County?
The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Swansea 1–0 Derby County). Projected goals: Swansea 1.8, Derby County 0.8.
Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring.