Stoke vs Derby County — Match Prediction
Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 26 · Sat 16 Jan, 00:00 UTC
StokeWDWWW
Derby CountyLLLDDAhead of Stoke v Derby County in the Championship on 16 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Stoke the most likely outcome at 53%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.8 for Stoke and 1.1 for Derby County. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and 55% chance both teams score.
Scoreline probability
Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Stoke goals down (↓), Derby County goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Stoke winDrawDerby County win
FAQ
Who will win Stoke vs Derby County?
Footyntel's model makes a home win for Stoke the most likely result at 53%. Full split: Stoke win 53%, draw 24%, Derby County win 23%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.
What is the predicted score for Stoke vs Derby County?
The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Stoke 1–1 Derby County). Projected goals: Stoke 1.8, Derby County 1.1.
Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring.