Footyntel.

Championship · Fixtures

Stoke vs Bristol City — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 12 · Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 UTC

Stoke win
47%
Draw
25%
Bristol City win
29%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.6 – 1.2
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams score56%
StokeWDWWW7th · 13 pts
Bristol CityWLLWD8th · 13 pts

Ahead of Stoke v Bristol City in the Championship on 24 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Stoke the most likely outcome at 47%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.6 for Stoke and 1.2 for Bristol City. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and 56% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Stoke goals down (↓), Bristol City goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

6742109127310896210453100221100110000012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Stoke 1W · 0D · 1L.

Bristol City2–0Stoke
Stoke5–1Bristol City

Recent form

Stoke
W@ Bolton2–1
Wvs Sheffield Utd2–1
W@ Watford2–1
D@ Cardiff1–1
Wvs Charlton4–0
Bristol City
D@ Charlton1–1
Wvs Watford1–0
Lvs Lincoln City0–1
L@ Southampton1–4
W@ Burnley2–1
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Stoke winDrawBristol City win

FAQ

Who will win Stoke vs Bristol City?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Stoke the most likely result at 47%. Full split: Stoke win 47%, draw 25%, Bristol City win 29%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Stoke vs Bristol City?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Stoke 1–1 Bristol City). Projected goals: Stoke 1.6, Bristol City 1.2.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring.

← Championship table & projection