Footyntel.

Championship · Fixtures

Stoke vs Bolton — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 34 · Sat 27 Feb, 00:00 UTC

Stoke win
54%
Draw
22%
Bolton win
24%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.9 – 1.2
Over 2.5 goals60%
Both teams score59%
StokeWDWWW7th · 13 pts
BoltonLLWWL15th · 10 pts

Ahead of Stoke v Bolton in the Championship on 27 February 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Stoke the most likely outcome at 54%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.9 for Stoke and 1.2 for Bolton. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and 59% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Stoke goals down (↓), Bolton goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 1 meeting — Stoke 1W · 0D · 0L.

Bolton1–2Stoke

Recent form

Stoke
W@ Bolton2–1
Wvs Sheffield Utd2–1
W@ Watford2–1
D@ Cardiff1–1
Wvs Charlton4–0
Bolton
Lvs Stoke1–2
W@ Norwich4–3
Wvs Cardiff1–0
Lvs West Ham2–3
L@ Millwall0–4

FAQ

Who will win Stoke vs Bolton?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Stoke the most likely result at 54%. Full split: Stoke win 54%, draw 22%, Bolton win 24%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Stoke vs Bolton?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Stoke 1–1 Bolton). Projected goals: Stoke 1.9, Bolton 1.2.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring.

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