Footyntel.

Championship · Fixtures

Stoke vs Birmingham — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 16 · Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 UTC

Stoke win
43%
Draw
25%
Birmingham win
32%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.5 – 1.3
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams score56%
StokeWDWWW7th · 13 pts
BirminghamDLWDW10th · 11 pts

Ahead of Stoke v Birmingham in the Championship on 21 November 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Stoke the most likely outcome at 43%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.5 for Stoke and 1.3 for Birmingham. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and 56% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Stoke goals down (↓), Birmingham goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

68521010128310796210453100121000010000012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Stoke 1W · 1D · 0L.

Birmingham1–1Stoke
Stoke1–0Birmingham

Recent form

Stoke
W@ Bolton2–1
Wvs Sheffield Utd2–1
W@ Watford2–1
D@ Cardiff1–1
Wvs Charlton4–0
Birmingham
W@ West Brom1–0
Dvs Middlesbrough2–2
W@ Derby County2–1
L@ Norwich1–2
Dvs Wolverhampton2–2
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Stoke winDrawBirmingham win

FAQ

Who will win Stoke vs Birmingham?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Stoke the most likely result at 43%. Full split: Stoke win 43%, draw 25%, Birmingham win 32%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Stoke vs Birmingham?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Stoke 1–1 Birmingham). Projected goals: Stoke 1.5, Birmingham 1.3.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring.

← Championship table & projection