Southampton vs Derby County — Match Prediction
Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 16 · Sat 21 Nov, 12:30 UTC
Ahead of Southampton v Derby County in the Championship on 21 November 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Southampton the most likely outcome at 73%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–0, with projected goals of 2.7 for Southampton and 1 for Derby County. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and 59% chance both teams score.
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Southampton winDrawDerby County win
FAQ
Who will win Southampton vs Derby County?
Footyntel's model makes a home win for Southampton the most likely result at 73%. Full split: Southampton win 73%, draw 16%, Derby County win 12%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.
What is the predicted score for Southampton vs Derby County?
The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–0 (Southampton 2–0 Derby County). Projected goals: Southampton 2.7, Derby County 1.
Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring.