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Championship · Fixtures

Southampton vs Bolton — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 11 · Sat 17 Oct, 14:00 UTC

Southampton win
75%
Draw
14%
Bolton win
11%
Most likely score2–1
Projected goals2.9 – 1.1
Over 2.5 goals76%
Both teams score63%
SouthamptonDWWLW13th · 10 pts
BoltonLLWWL15th · 10 pts

Ahead of Southampton v Bolton in the Championship on 17 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Southampton the most likely outcome at 75%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–1, with projected goals of 2.9 for Southampton and 1.1 for Bolton. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and 63% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Southampton goals down (↓), Bolton goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Southampton vs Bolton?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Southampton the most likely result at 75%. Full split: Southampton win 75%, draw 14%, Bolton win 11%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Southampton vs Bolton?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–1 (Southampton 2–1 Bolton). Projected goals: Southampton 2.9, Bolton 1.1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring.

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