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Championship · Fixtures

Sheffield Utd vs Derby County — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 12 · Sat 24 Oct, 11:30 UTC

Sheffield Utd win
50%
Draw
24%
Derby County win
26%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.7 – 1.1
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams score55%
Sheffield UtdLWLLW18th · 9 pts
Derby CountyLLLDD22nd · 5 pts

Ahead of Sheffield Utd v Derby County in the Championship on 24 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Sheffield Utd the most likely outcome at 50%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.7 for Sheffield Utd and 1.1 for Derby County. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and 55% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Sheffield Utd goals down (↓), Derby County goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Sheffield Utd 1W · 0D · 1L.

Derby County1–2Sheffield Utd
Sheffield Utd1–3Derby County

Recent form

Sheffield Utd
Wvs Lincoln City3–0
L@ Stoke1–2
Lvs Wolverhampton0–1
W@ Blackburn2–1
Lvs Norwich1–3
Derby County
Dvs Wrexham1–1
D@ Burnley1–1
Lvs Birmingham1–2
Lvs West Brom0–1
L@ West Ham0–3

FAQ

Who will win Sheffield Utd vs Derby County?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Sheffield Utd the most likely result at 50%. Full split: Sheffield Utd win 50%, draw 24%, Derby County win 26%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Sheffield Utd vs Derby County?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Sheffield Utd 1–1 Derby County). Projected goals: Sheffield Utd 1.7, Derby County 1.1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring.

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