Footyntel.

Championship · Fixtures

Norwich vs Stoke — Match Prediction

Championship 2026/27 · Matchday 44 · Tue 20 Apr, 00:00 UTC

Norwich win
48%
Draw
22%
Stoke win
31%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.9 – 1.5
Over 2.5 goals67%
Both teams score67%
NorwichWWLLL17th · 9 pts
StokeWDWWW7th · 13 pts

Ahead of Norwich v Stoke in the Championship on 20 April 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Norwich the most likely outcome at 48%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.9 for Norwich and 1.5 for Stoke. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and 67% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Norwich goals down (↓), Stoke goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

354210697410697310464210232100111000012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Norwich 0W · 1D · 2L.

Stoke1–0Norwich
Norwich0–2Stoke
Stoke1–1Norwich

Recent form

Norwich
L@ Swansea1–2
Lvs Bolton3–4
L@ Middlesbrough3–4
Wvs Birmingham2–1
W@ Sheffield Utd3–1
Stoke
W@ Bolton2–1
Wvs Sheffield Utd2–1
W@ Watford2–1
D@ Cardiff1–1
Wvs Charlton4–0

FAQ

Who will win Norwich vs Stoke?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Norwich the most likely result at 48%. Full split: Norwich win 48%, draw 22%, Stoke win 31%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Norwich vs Stoke?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Norwich 1–1 Stoke). Projected goals: Norwich 1.9, Stoke 1.5.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring.

← Championship table & projection